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domenica 7 febbraio 2016

Armstrong: Keep in mind that the break to the downside against the dollar should be 2017–2020 and will end in monetary reform

Armstrong Economics sta facendo migrare il sito. L'altro giorno parlavano di EUR/USD:

Naturally, the higher the rally, the better the fall thereafter. If we can close above 11055 on a weekly basis, then we should test the 113–114 zone. The main Weekly Bullish stands at 11450. That is the real beginning of resistance up to that 116 area. Getting through that will open the door to the 125 area, which is where the Monthly Bullish starts to come into play. 
Keep in mind that the break to the downside against the dollar should be 2017–2020 and will end in monetary reform. With the Fed introducing negative rates into the stress test, capital will have no choice but to flee into equities. This whole thing is a real mess. 
This is why we must follow the reversals. They will dictate the trend. We needed a weekly closing below 10675 to see the euro break to the downside, as it only reached 10711 intraday the first week of January. Since that did not materialize and we failed to elect the year-end sell signal at 10365, a bounce became inevitable. Curiously enough, we also did not elect the bearish reversal in gold at year-end. This has allowed the rally since we avoided all sell signals at year-end. What will not go down must bounce.

Insomma, si parla di quanto si salira' (Zibordi e Gundlach pure ne parlavano prima che il breakout dell'Euro sul Dollaro USA iniziasse) .. ma la cosa interessante mi pare che sia quello che ho evidenziato: "Tenete a mente che la rottura verso il basso contro il Dollaro dovrebbe essere nel 2017-2020, e la cosa finira' con una riforma monetaria" (! .. il famoso reset?)
 

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