Ovvero: Pararsi un po' il cul* in questo pazzo pazzo mondo di carte filigranate, iperfinanza globalizzata e picco delle risorse

mercoledì 1 luglio 2015

Durden: Grecia, metodo Cipro in arrivo?


Ed eccoci! Haircut (tosatina di capelli.. nel senso che se hai 100 in banca oooops, è diventato 70 :) ) e bail-in (cioè salvataggio delle banche coi soldi dei suoi correntisti invece che coi soldi dello stato e quindi dei contribuenti, quest'ultimo è il bail-out) le parole chiave. Con tanti saluti ai greci e secondo i Tylers soprattutto pensionati e dipendenti pubblici che sono i principali elettori del partito.


(...) As can be seen raising the haircut to 75% implies a €33 billion (or 37%) depositor bail-in or "haircut", while raising the haircut to 90% implies a €67 billion (or 55%) hit.

Note that the latter scenario looks quite familiar to what happened in Cyprus, and indeed that's not at all surprising because if, as Dijsselbloem himself said, Cyrpus is a "template", then the next step after capital controls is a depositor bail-in.

And while we wish we could have some good news for the Greek population, this outcome may have been preordained by none other than Goldman (cioè la famigerata Goldman Sachs, la banca conosciuta anche come la "piovra vampira", Er) whose Hugh Pill, who on June 28 suggested the following:

The core constituency of the current Greek government -- pensioners and public employees -- has enjoyed the first claim on remaining government cash reserves. Only when those cash reserves are exhausted will that constituency face the direct implications of the liquidity squeeze the political impasse between Greece and its creditors has created. And only then will the alignment of domestic political interests within Greece change to allow a way forward.

And as Goldman's former employee and current head of the ECB (cioè Mario Draghi. Er) is about to have his way, the pensioners and public employees will be the first to suffer - first with capital controls and then with ever increasing haircuts on their deposits.

In other words, in order for the Troika to finally achieve its goal of either forcing Tsipras to relent or inflicting enough pain on Syriza's "core constituency of pensioners and public sector employees" to compel them to drive the PM from office, after capital controls come the depositor haircuts, first small, then ever greater until Greece collectively Cries Uncle and begs Europe to take it back while presenting Merkel with Tsipras and Varoufakis' heads on a proverbial (and metaphorical, we hope) silver platter.
et voilà! banche salvate coi soldi dei correntisti .. poi dai dello scemo a chi si è attardato a cercare di cavare tutto il possibile.


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